(I predicted we would peak around 2500 about 4 weeks ago)
and we are APPROACHING THAT
more testing, more positives, more, more, more.
Hospital stays as % of growth is ALARMING AS WELL, although that is misleading… only 500 people out of 5,8 million are in the hospital. Incredibly sad but incredibly low.
ICU people the very very sick are still stable around 100…
And deaths…well deaths are really low… a handful a day.
MY OWN CONCLUSION BASED ON MATH (I am numbers not SCIENCE)
PEOPLE ARE GETTING IT, AND MANY MANY MORE ARE FORCED TO GET TESTED, then 30 days ago…
BUT THE INCREASES IN SEVERELY SEVERELY SICK hasn’t been noticeable (still very sad)
SO… Kids are getting it, but not getting very sick and have not spread it to the most vulnerable at the same rate. Not even close. Which is very very very good news.
People call me AN IDIOT to think like this…but it’s math. That’s all.
CDC just came out with their new death forecasts. Boy that is pretty dark stuff. But people die every day. We always forget that. 17 die a day from Abortion. Several die a day from car accidents. And old people in homes over 85… yeah about 10% of them die every year with or without the “help” of Covid. Truly morbid stuff.
Anyways, here are weekly models. If they hold true the odds of you dieing are MUCH higher from something else than COVID. That is not SCIENCE, those are the NUMBERS that science use.
When looking at the graphs, please not 40 a week might seem high to you…any death sucks, however 80% will be very sick and old people (not culling the herd, but they weren’t’ getting healthy anytime soon). So 8 will die a week that aren’t in this category out of 5.8 million. Holy crap that is A LOW NUMBER. It looks that in the first year of COVID if these numbers hold we would be about 2,000 deaths, 80% from those old and vulnerable…
suffered a ton in his life, like a crazy struggle…yet he said…
PRAY, HOPE, NO WORRY.
I like that a lot.
Empathy, patience… realizing God has a bigger plan.
Do we challenge authority? Jesus of course says YES. But at times we must SERVE as well…
which is right? which is wrong?
Prayer. Hope. Don’t Worry.
I think that helps a bit.
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Serious, serious question….do you… do your kids…. do those around you…?
LAUGH MORE
LAUGH THE SAME
LAUGH LESS
then we did before the March Pandemic.
I’m not a mask wearer… do you have belly laughs in masks, AGAIN SERIOUS QUESTION?
I would rather DIE then not laugh… I am dead serious.
Even I would have to admit I think I laugh less… what a FU***NG SHAME.
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OK.. COVID NEWS.
MAN CHARTS CAN BE MISLEADING. HERE’S THE POSITIVE… DEATHS ARE WAY DOWN. What I don’t like is HOSPITALS ARE UP.
Now I don’t use the words way up… check out the chart… THEY LOOK WAY UP. As a percentage is way up…
but let’s imagine if the chart was at 5,800,00 at the top of the chart. These numbers wouldn’t even appear at the bottom they would be so low… The top of the chart is the highest number so it looks huge!
If I make a chart from 1-10… you will see wild swings from 3-7. Now what if that chart was 100, 1000, 1 million? See… what wild things numbers can do…and charts…
I will use my website to organize my thoughts for my own good. If you want to read along fine… but do know it is more for my own benefit then yours (just how many rapid brain uses to control my madness…)
I will try to talk Covid…now all things can’t be covid, i will give that son of a bitch only the attention it deserves…
It will be random but here we go…
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We need to accept that 3 million Americans will die this year and we can’t keep everyone alive forever no matter how hard we try – And that our bizarre fixation on making every decision as if #Covid deaths are the only societal outcome that matters is profoundly wrong. (Alex Berenson, who I follow on Twitter).
Here’s the thing, it’s our addiction to material goods and our own lives that have got us here. People don’t want to believe or hear we are going to die… and perhaps very very soon. Or that 17 people a day in Wisconsin are killed as babies in the womb, called to mimic the murders.. abortions. We must believe in God. Does Covid suck? You bet your sweet ass it does…but it should shut down SOCIETY!
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#MEMORIESANDMOMENTS should not be left behind… for ANYTHING… we must LIVE…and living is taking risks… kids playing sports… and much much more! It is risky, a bit? 99.96% chance you live…about a 99.5% chance you won’t have to go to the hospital with it… but it is A RISK. LET KIDS WHO WILL NOT, WILL NOT, WILL NOT DIE OF IT… DO THEIR LIFE! 20 YEARS FROM NOW… THEY WILL BE ALL MESSED UP OTHERWISE!
IF YOU DON’T AGREE, KEEP YOUR KIDS AT HOME. THAT’S FINE.
I am personal freedom guy… I believe people in America have a choice on most things… the government shouldn’t MANDATE to us… educate, advise, police bad things… but MANDATE… not so much…that’s on the person.
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Do I know if masks work? No. Do you? No. They can’t hurt. Correct. Do they dehumanize people and cause depression. Maybe. So make your own choice I say.
Here are some numbers I go back too…
5.8 million in our state of Wisconsin.
400 hundred are in and out of the hospital (sucks really bad)
about 5 a die with it, most very old people most in old age homes.
THOSE NUMBERS ARE REALLY REALLY SMALL. REALLY SMALL.
The Wisconsin Department of Health Services confirmed 1,672 new cases of COVID-19 and 7 new deaths on September 22. That brings the state’s total number of cases to 104,170 and the total number of deaths to 1,251.
Over the past week, the state has added an average of 1,838 cases per day, 46% higher than the previous week. Meanwhile, 4 people are dying per day from the virus, which is 40% lower than the previous week. The test positivity rate of 16.7% over the past week is higher than the week before.
REALLY INTERESTING…WHEN CASES WERE IN THE 500’S THEY POSTED IN THE AFTERNOON, AROUND 3…NOW THEY POST EARLY MORNING! WHY I WONDER? DRAW YOUR OWN CONCLUSIONS…
CASES UP 46%, DEATHS DOWN 40%!!!!!
young kids getting it… but not dying. THAT SEEMS TO BE OBVIOUS.
I thought I could change the world with it. Or at least the world I live in. Bring back the student section and pep band. Limit the time quarantined.
I built my case. Did my research. Read every damn google article I could find to support my beliefs.
What I found was that this is not how the public sector works (good or bad but reality). You can’t just build a case, go the school board, and change NATIONAL policy.
What I realized was this SUCKS.
SOMETIMES LIFE IS HARD.
SOMETIMES THINGS ARE OUT OF YOUR CONTROL.
AND SHIT HAPPENS.
This is one of those times.
School and school boards for decades (longer?) report to higher powers. Those higher powers report to other higher powers. Those powers are the CDC, the state and our national government. Currently, their rules (and it’s not like the private sector, you CAN’T skirt the work rules) require
MASKS
DISTANCING
QUARANTINING
NO LARGE GROUPS (NO PEP BAND OR STUDENT SECTION)
in an abundantly cautious approach trying to do the best to protect students, teachers, administration and staff.
It doesn’t MATTER what you think, the policy is the policy built by someone you never met but have to trust based on their position above you. THIS IS HOW THE GAME WORKS.
THIS GAME IS NOT WINNABLE.
AND THAT’S OK.
I try to embrace life as a series of games.
I thought someway, somehow I could bottle up everyone’s frustrations and fix this. I could outwork them. Out educate them. Out hustle them.
I CAN’T. YOU CAN’T.
What we can do….
HELP TEACHERS. They might feel like me and think we should be more liberal in our views of this. They might feel we should be virtual. Their voice sadly doesn’t matter with how the system works. It’s ok to tell them it sucks but support them either way. We need them. Support them emotionally and financially and give them a break. THEY HAVE TO FOLLOW THE RULES THEY DIDN’T MAKE.
HAVE FUN OUTSIDE THE SCHOOL WALLS. Get together (if you want) have fun. Find ways to enjoy life outside the walls and curriculum of the public sector. If your son loves basketball (yep) and your school cancels basketball it’s probably not the school’s fault but someone way up the ladder on a committee, it’s the system not the school. So support your son, find a gym and program open and join that. Move on quickly. LOVE will conquer covid, not fighting. #MEMORIESANDMOMENTS
EDUCATE YOUR CHILDREN. Don’t let them be sheep and just believe whatever they hear from ANYONE, be it you, your teacher, your neighbor or grandpa. Tell them to do the research and think independently. Kids are getting caught up in this. Educate them on how Hitler attacked the kids first because they were the easiest to convince. Keep conversations to children open-ended, don’t force your opinion on them! Here’s a great read for them (and you perhaps) on the Hitler Youth.
DON’T BE MAD. Hate the system, don’t hate the player. It’s ok to try to change the system, BUT DON’T GET MAD AT THE PLAYERS.
EDUCATE YOURSELF. Now that I have spent hours AND HOURS on masks, deaths, covid, and much much more, I feel not a medical expert but versed enough to make a conclusion for the best of my own mind. I feel empowered and in control. When you truly educate yourself you go from being a sheep to a wolf. Being a wolf is a much better move IN THE GAME OF LIFE to prepare for this AND YOUR NEXT game in life.
GAME. Life is a game. A big one but a game. This is A FANTASTIC PODCAST TO UNDERSTAND THAT. And sometimes you just play the best you can. But understand it’s meant by God to be a game!
FINALLY
CONTROL THE CONTROLLABLES. For me changing the “culture of covid” does matter but I can only control it at my work life (Thank God) and my home life. TO FOCUS ON IT, IT MUST BE BOTH. IF NOT, LET IT GO LIKE A FALL BREEZE. That’s it. So don’t stress over the stuff out of your control, and for me, the way a public school functions is primarily out of my control. So I must MUST let it go to be the best version of myself so I can move on, help others, and be happy and do God’s will. That’s it.
I’m moving on…and helping where and when I can… FAITH > FEAR.
Joel Fleischman's Blog 